Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 39.58% ( | 26.74% ( | 33.68% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.45% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.44% ( | 53.56% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.93% ( | 75.07% ( |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.51% ( | 26.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.32% ( | 61.68% ( |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.99% ( | 30% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.88% ( | 66.12% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.55% ( 2-1 @ 8.44% ( 2-0 @ 7.01% ( 3-1 @ 3.74% ( 3-0 @ 3.11% ( 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.2% Total : 39.57% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0-0 @ 7.95% ( 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 3-3 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.74% | 0-1 @ 9.57% ( 1-2 @ 7.65% ( 0-2 @ 5.76% ( 1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0-3 @ 2.31% ( 2-3 @ 2.04% ( 1-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.36% Total : 33.68% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 57 | 32 | 25 | 67 |
| 2 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 53 | 20 | 33 | 65 |
| 3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 48 | 23 | 25 | 59 |
| 4 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 31 | 15 | 12 | 4 | 56 | 31 | 25 | 57 |
| 5 | Derby CountyDerby | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 48 | 25 | 23 | 54 |
| 6 | Barnsley | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 53 |
| 7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 50 |
| 8 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 48 |
| 9 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 29 | 14 | 2 | 13 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 44 |
| 10 | Portsmouth | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 41 |
| 11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 45 | 41 | 4 | 40 |
| 12 | Exeter CityExeter | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 39 |
| 13 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 29 | 8 | 14 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 38 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 38 |
| 15 | Port Vale | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 37 |
| 16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 36 |
| 17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 35 |
| 18 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 33 |
| 19 | Burton Albion | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 38 | 57 | -19 | 31 |
| 20 | MK Dons | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 28 | 46 | -18 | 29 |
| 21 | Morecambe | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 28 |
| 22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 27 |
| 23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 25 | 51 | -26 | 26 |
| 24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 25 | 59 | -34 | 22 |
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