

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 57.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 18.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Barnsley in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Barnsley.
| Result | ||
| Barnsley | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 57.41% ( | 23.78% ( | 18.81% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.46% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.58% ( | 52.42% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.9% ( | 74.1% ( |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.94% ( | 18.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.03% ( | 48.97% ( |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.91% ( | 42.09% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.49% ( | 78.51% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnsley | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 1-0 @ 13% ( 2-0 @ 11.13% ( 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 3-0 @ 6.35% ( 3-1 @ 5.5% ( 4-0 @ 2.72% ( 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 4-1 @ 2.35% ( 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 5-0 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.39% Total : 57.4% | 1-1 @ 11.25% ( 0-0 @ 7.6% ( 2-2 @ 4.17% ( Other @ 0.75% Total : 23.77% | 0-1 @ 6.58% ( 1-2 @ 4.87% ( 0-2 @ 2.85% ( 1-3 @ 1.41% ( 2-3 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 1.91% Total : 18.81% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portsmouth | 15 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 35 |
| 2 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 29 |
| 3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 29 |
| 4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 28 |
| 5 | Barnsley | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 27 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 26 |
| 7 | Blackpool | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 23 |
| 8 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 22 |
| 9 | Derby CountyDerby | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 21 |
| 10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 21 |
| 11 | Burton Albion | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 20 |
| 12 | Leyton Orient | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 20 |
| 13 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 19 |
| 14 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 19 |
| 15 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
| 16 | Port Vale | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 18 |
| 17 | Exeter CityExeter | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 17 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 17 |
| 19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 14 |
| 20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 14 |
| 21 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 14 |
| 22 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
| 23 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 24 | -18 | 8 |
| 24 | Reading | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 6 |
| > League One Full Table | |||||||||
