

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 57.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 18.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Barnsley in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Barnsley.
| Result | ||
| Barnsley | Draw | Fleetwood Town | 
| 57.41% (  -0.44) | 23.78% (  0.07) | 18.81% (  0.37) | 
| Both teams to score 47.46% (  0.42) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 47.58% (  0.23) | 52.42% (  -0.22) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 25.9% (  0.19) | 74.1% (  -0.19) | 
| Barnsley Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 81.94% (  -0.08) | 18.06% (  0.08) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.03% (  -0.13) | 48.97% (  0.14) | 
| Fleetwood Town Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 57.91% (  0.56) | 42.09% (  -0.56) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.49% (  0.48) | 78.51% (  -0.48) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Barnsley | Draw | Fleetwood Town | 
| 1-0 @ 13% (  -0.15) 2-0 @ 11.13% (  -0.15) 2-1 @ 9.63% (  0.01) 3-0 @ 6.35% (  -0.11) 3-1 @ 5.5% (  -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.72% (  -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.38% (  0.03) 4-1 @ 2.35% (  -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.02% (  0.01) 5-0 @ 0.93% (  -0.02) Other @ 2.39% Total : 57.4% | 1-1 @ 11.25% (  0.04) 0-0 @ 7.6% (  -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.17% (  0.07) Other @ 0.75% Total : 23.77% | 0-1 @ 6.58% (  0.04) 1-2 @ 4.87% (  0.09) 0-2 @ 2.85% (  0.06) 1-3 @ 1.41% (  0.05) 2-3 @ 1.2% (  0.04) Other @ 1.91% Total : 18.81% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portsmouth | 15 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 35 | 
| 2 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 29 | 
| 3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 29 | 
| 4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 28 | 
| 5 | Barnsley | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 27 | 
| 6 | Stevenage | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 26 | 
| 7 | Blackpool | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 23 | 
| 8 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 22 | 
| 9 | Derby CountyDerby | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 21 | 
| 10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 21 | 
| 11 | Burton Albion | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 20 | 
| 12 | Leyton Orient | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 20 | 
| 13 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 19 | 
| 14 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 19 | 
| 15 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 18 | 
| 16 | Port Vale | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 18 | 
| 17 | Exeter CityExeter | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 17 | 
| 18 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 17 | 
| 19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 14 | 
| 20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 14 | 
| 21 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 14 | 
| 22 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 | 
| 23 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 24 | -18 | 8 | 
| 24 | Reading | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 6 | 
| > League One Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
