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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 57.94%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 18.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Port Vale win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Port Vale |
57.94% (![]() | 23.34% (![]() | 18.73% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.61% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.19% (![]() | 50.81% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.3% (![]() | 72.7% (![]() |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.72% (![]() | 17.28% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.38% (![]() | 47.62% (![]() |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.76% (![]() | 41.24% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.23% (![]() | 77.77% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Port Vale |
1-0 @ 12.51% (![]() 2-0 @ 10.98% 2-1 @ 9.73% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.43% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.69% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.82% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.52% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.5% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.11% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 2.66% Total : 57.93% | 1-1 @ 11.08% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.13% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.31% ( ![]() Other @ 0.82% Total : 23.34% | 0-1 @ 6.31% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.91% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.8% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.45% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.27% ( ![]() Other @ 1.99% Total : 18.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Portsmouth | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 19 |
2 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 18 |
3 | Stevenage | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 18 |
4 | Port Vale | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 17 |
5 | Barnsley | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 16 |
6 | Exeter CityExeter | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 16 |
7 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 14 |
8 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
9 | Derby CountyDerby | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 13 |
10 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 13 |
11 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
13 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
14 | Blackpool | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
15 | Leyton Orient | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 11 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 |
17 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 9 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 7 |
19 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Burton Albion | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 6 |
21 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 5 |
22 | Reading | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 5 |
23 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 2 |
24 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 15 | -15 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |