EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Aug 31, 2021 at 7pm UK
Reebok Stadium
Bolton
3 - 2
Port Vale
Doyle (28'), Delfouneso (54'), Afolayan (77')
Delfouneso (67'), Santos (75'), Baptiste (81'), Brockbank (90')
Delfouneso (67'), Santos (75'), Baptiste (81'), Brockbank (90')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Port Vale |
| 40.62% | 26.07% | 33.3% |
| Both teams to score 53.52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
