
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 52.8%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 23.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Almere City |
| 52.8% ( | 23.24% ( | 23.95% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.36% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.82% ( | 44.18% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.44% ( | 66.56% ( |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.28% ( | 16.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.37% ( | 46.63% ( |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.68% ( | 32.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.17% ( | 68.82% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Almere City |
| 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 1-0 @ 9.67% ( 2-0 @ 8.64% ( 3-1 @ 5.82% ( 3-0 @ 5.15% ( 3-2 @ 3.29% ( 4-1 @ 2.6% ( 4-0 @ 2.3% ( 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 5-1 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 3.17% Total : 52.8% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0-0 @ 5.4% ( 3-3 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.24% | 1-2 @ 6.17% ( 0-1 @ 6.1% ( 0-2 @ 3.45% ( 1-3 @ 2.32% ( 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.54% Total : 23.95% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 3 | 27 | 27 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 25 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 6 | 26 | 23 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 22 |
| 5 | Go Ahead Eagles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Heracles | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
| 9 | PEC Zwolle | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 10 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
| 14 | Almere CityAlmere City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 9 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 8 |
| 16 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 | Ajax | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 4 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
