

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 51.56%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 25.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 25.81% ( | 22.63% ( | 51.56% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.53% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.41% ( | 39.59% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.06% ( | 61.94% ( |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.63% ( | 28.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.89% ( | 64.11% ( |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.5% ( | 15.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.6% ( | 44.39% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 6.51% ( 1-0 @ 5.54% ( 2-0 @ 3.49% ( 3-1 @ 2.73% ( 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 3-0 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 3.53% Total : 25.81% | 1-1 @ 10.32% ( 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0-0 @ 4.4% ( 3-3 @ 1.58% ( Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.62% | 1-2 @ 9.63% ( 0-1 @ 8.2% ( 0-2 @ 7.64% ( 1-3 @ 5.98% ( 0-3 @ 4.75% ( 2-3 @ 3.77% ( 1-4 @ 2.79% ( 0-4 @ 2.21% ( 2-4 @ 1.76% ( 1-5 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 3.79% Total : 51.56% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 3 | 27 | 27 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 25 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 6 | 26 | 23 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 22 |
| 5 | Go Ahead Eagles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Heracles | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
| 9 | PEC Zwolle | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 10 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
| 14 | Almere CityAlmere City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 9 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 8 |
| 16 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 | Ajax | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 4 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
