

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 54.68%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 23.29% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 54.68% ( | 22.03% ( | 23.29% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.72% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.63% ( | 39.37% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.3% ( | 61.71% ( |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.62% ( | 14.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.73% ( | 42.28% ( |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.75% ( | 30.25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.58% ( | 66.42% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 1-0 @ 8.44% ( 2-0 @ 8.18% ( 3-1 @ 6.32% ( 3-0 @ 5.29% ( 3-2 @ 3.78% ( 4-1 @ 3.07% ( 4-0 @ 2.56% ( 4-2 @ 1.83% ( 5-1 @ 1.19% ( 5-0 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 3.25% Total : 54.68% | 1-1 @ 10.08% ( 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0-0 @ 4.35% ( 3-3 @ 1.51% ( Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.02% | 1-2 @ 6.03% ( 0-1 @ 5.2% ( 0-2 @ 3.11% ( 1-3 @ 2.4% ( 2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0-3 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 2.97% Total : 23.29% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 25 | 24 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 4 | 18 | 22 |
| 3 | FC Twente | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 21 |
| 4 | Feyenoord | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 6 | 22 | 20 |
| 5 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 | Heracles | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
| 9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 9 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 | Vitesse | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 | PEC Zwolle | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 7 |
| 13 | Heerenveen | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | Almere CityAlmere City | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 7 |
| 15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 6 |
| 16 | Ajax | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 5 |
| 17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 3 |
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