
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 69.52%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 13.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.02%), while for an Almere City win it was 1-2 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | Almere City |
| 69.52% ( | 17.41% ( | 13.08% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.51% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.84% ( | 35.16% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.84% ( | 57.16% ( |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.89% ( | 9.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 69.07% ( | 30.93% ( |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.07% ( | 38.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.35% ( | 75.65% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | Almere City |
| 2-0 @ 10.17% ( 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 1-0 @ 8.5% ( 3-0 @ 8.13% ( 3-1 @ 7.67% ( 4-0 @ 4.87% ( 4-1 @ 4.59% ( 3-2 @ 3.62% ( 5-0 @ 2.33% ( 5-1 @ 2.2% ( 4-2 @ 2.17% ( 5-2 @ 1.04% ( 6-0 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 3.7% Total : 69.51% | 1-1 @ 8.02% ( 2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0-0 @ 3.55% ( 3-3 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 17.41% | 1-2 @ 3.78% ( 0-1 @ 3.35% ( 0-2 @ 1.58% ( 2-3 @ 1.43% ( 1-3 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 1.76% Total : 13.08% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 25 | 24 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 4 | 18 | 22 |
| 3 | FC Twente | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 21 |
| 4 | Feyenoord | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 6 | 22 | 20 |
| 5 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 | Heracles | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
| 9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 9 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 | Vitesse | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 | PEC Zwolle | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 7 |
| 13 | Heerenveen | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | Almere CityAlmere City | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 7 |
| 15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 6 |
| 16 | Ajax | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 5 |
| 17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 3 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
