
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 36.79% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Almere City |
| 36.79% ( | 24.96% ( | 38.24% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.89% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.51% ( | 45.48% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.18% ( | 67.81% ( |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.7% ( | 24.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.32% ( | 58.67% ( |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.47% ( | 23.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.43% ( | 57.57% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Almere City |
| 2-1 @ 8.28% ( 1-0 @ 8.09% ( 2-0 @ 5.72% 3-1 @ 3.9% ( 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 3-0 @ 2.7% ( 4-1 @ 1.38% ( 4-2 @ 1% ( 4-0 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 1.95% Total : 36.79% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0-0 @ 5.72% ( 3-3 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.96% | 1-2 @ 8.47% ( 0-1 @ 8.27% ( 0-2 @ 5.99% ( 1-3 @ 4.08% ( 2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0-3 @ 2.89% ( 1-4 @ 1.48% ( 2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0-4 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.09% Total : 38.24% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 32 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 63 | 30 | 33 | 74 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 23 | 4 | 5 | 96 | 37 | 59 | 73 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 32 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 74 | 36 | 38 | 65 |
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 61 | 44 | 17 | 62 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 60 | 44 | 16 | 54 |
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 54 | 34 | 20 | 53 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 53 | 50 | 3 | 48 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 40 |
| 9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 39 |
| 10 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 38 |
| 11 | Groningen | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 38 |
| 12 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 38 |
| 13 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 37 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 35 |
| 15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 33 | 54 | -21 | 32 |
| 16 | Willem II | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 25 |
| 17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 39 | 69 | -30 | 22 |
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 21 | 62 | -41 | 20 |
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