
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 36.79% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Almere City | 
| 36.79% (  -0.14) | 24.96% (  0.05) | 38.24% (  0.08) | 
| Both teams to score 57.89% (  -0.21) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 54.51% (  -0.27) | 45.48% (  0.26) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 32.18% (  -0.25) | 67.81% (  0.25) | 
| Fortuna Sittard Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 75.7% (  -0.2) | 24.3% (  0.2) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.32% (  -0.28) | 58.67% (  0.27) | 
| Almere City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 76.47% (  -0.08) | 23.52% (  0.08) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.43% (  -0.11) | 57.57% (  0.11) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Almere City | 
| 2-1 @ 8.28% (  -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.09% (  0.05) 2-0 @ 5.72% 3-1 @ 3.9% (  -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.83% (  -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.7% (  -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.38% (  -0.02) 4-2 @ 1% (  -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.95% (  -0.01) Other @ 1.95% Total : 36.79% | 1-1 @ 11.7% (  0.04) 2-2 @ 5.99% (  -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.72% (  0.06) 3-3 @ 1.36% (  -0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.96% | 1-2 @ 8.47% (  0.01) 0-1 @ 8.27% (  0.08) 0-2 @ 5.99% (  0.04) 1-3 @ 4.08% (  -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.89% (  -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.89% (  0.01) 1-4 @ 1.48% (  -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.05% (  -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.04% (  0) Other @ 2.09% Total : 38.24% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 32 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 63 | 30 | 33 | 74 | 
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 23 | 4 | 5 | 96 | 37 | 59 | 73 | 
| 3 | Feyenoord | 32 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 74 | 36 | 38 | 65 | 
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 61 | 44 | 17 | 62 | 
| 5 | FC Twente | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 60 | 44 | 16 | 54 | 
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 54 | 34 | 20 | 53 | 
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 53 | 50 | 3 | 48 | 
| 8 | Heerenveen | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 40 | 
| 9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 39 | 
| 10 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 38 | 
| 11 | Groningen | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 38 | 
| 12 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 38 | 
| 13 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 37 | 
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 35 | 
| 15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 33 | 54 | -21 | 32 | 
| 16 | Willem II | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 25 | 
| 17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 39 | 69 | -30 | 22 | 
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 21 | 62 | -41 | 20 | 
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
