Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 14, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio 15 de Abril
Union0 - 1Mushuc Runa
Demian Fascendini (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Joshue Caicedo Lopez (45+1')
Mina (43'), Tapiero (53'), Alfredo Orejuela Quinonez (63'), Arturo Arce Mina (72'), Penilla (90+2')
Mina (43'), Tapiero (53'), Alfredo Orejuela Quinonez (63'), Arturo Arce Mina (72'), Penilla (90+2')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Union and Mushuc Runa.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Union 1-2 Palestino
Wednesday, May 7 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, May 7 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Goals
for
for
11
Last Game: Mushuc Runa 1-1 Cruzeiro
Thursday, May 8 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, May 8 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 60.95%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Mushuc Runa had a probability of 16.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.05%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Mushuc Runa win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Union | Draw | Mushuc Runa |
60.95% ( -0.05) | 22.77% ( -0) | 16.28% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 45.74% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
