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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 14, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio 15 de Abril

Union
vs.
Mushuc Runa

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Union and Mushuc Runa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mushuc Runa 3-0 Union
Thursday, April 24 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Next Game: Barracas Central vs. Union
Monday, April 28 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Mushuc Runa 3-0 Union
Thursday, April 24 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Next Game: Mushuc Runa vs. Cruzeiro
Thursday, May 8 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Union win with a probability of 62.23%. A draw has a probability of 22.6% and a win for Mushuc Runa has a probability of 15.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.61%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Mushuc Runa win it is 0-1 (5.9%).

Result
UnionDrawMushuc Runa
62.23%22.57%15.2%
Both teams to score 44.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.79%53.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.23%74.77%
Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.37%16.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.53%46.47%
Mushuc Runa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.86%47.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.41%82.59%
Score Analysis
    Union 62.22%
    Mushuc Runa 15.2%
    Draw 22.56%
UnionDrawMushuc Runa
1-0 @ 14.06%
2-0 @ 12.61%
2-1 @ 9.49%
3-0 @ 7.54%
3-1 @ 5.67%
4-0 @ 3.38%
4-1 @ 2.54%
3-2 @ 2.13%
5-0 @ 1.21%
4-2 @ 0.96%
5-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 62.22%
1-1 @ 10.57%
0-0 @ 7.84%
2-2 @ 3.57%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 22.56%
0-1 @ 5.9%
1-2 @ 3.98%
0-2 @ 2.22%
1-3 @ 1%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 15.2%

Head to Head
Apr 24, 2025 3am
Group Stage
Mushuc Runa
3-0
Union
Alfredo Orejuela Quinonez (3'), Joshue Caicedo Lopez (52'), Penilla (90+1')
Peralta (80')
Bentaberry (55')

Martinez (44'), Palacios (76')
rhs 2.0
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