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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 7, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio 15 de Abril

Union
vs.
Palestino

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Union and Palestino.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Mushuc Runa 3-0 Union
Thursday, April 24 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Next Game: Barracas Central vs. Union
Monday, April 28 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division

Palestino

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Palestino 2-0 Union
Wednesday, April 9 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Next Game: Palestino vs. Cruzeiro
Friday, April 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Union win with a probability of 55.36%. A draw has a probability of 25.4% and a win for Palestino has a probability of 19.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.45%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Palestino win it is 0-1 (7.53%).

Result
UnionDrawPalestino
55.36% (0.406 0.41) 25.41% (0.143 0.14) 19.23% (-0.55 -0.55)
Both teams to score 43.68% (-1.152 -1.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.18% (-1.093 -1.09)57.82% (1.091 1.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.45% (-0.871 -0.87)78.55% (0.87 0.87)
Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.07% (-0.27499999999999 -0.27)20.93% (0.274 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.33% (-0.42899999999999 -0.43)53.67% (0.427 0.43)
Palestino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.24% (-1.263 -1.26)44.76% (1.261 1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.26% (-1.033 -1.03)80.74% (1.031 1.03)
Score Analysis
    Union 55.35%
    Palestino 19.23%
    Draw 25.4%
UnionDrawPalestino
1-0 @ 14.65% (0.48 0.48)
2-0 @ 11.45% (0.28 0.28)
2-1 @ 9.21% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
3-0 @ 5.97% (0.099 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.8% (-0.089 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.34% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.105 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.88% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 55.35%
1-1 @ 11.77% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9.37% (0.383 0.38)
2-2 @ 3.7% (-0.169 -0.17)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 7.53% (0.051 0.05)
1-2 @ 4.73% (-0.176 -0.18)
0-2 @ 3.03% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.27% (-0.094 -0.09)
2-3 @ 0.99% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 19.23%

Head to Head
Apr 9, 2025 11pm
Group Stage
Palestino
2-0
Union
Carrasco (12' pen.), Marabel (90+6')
Meza (52'), Carrasco (68')

Gerometta (9'), Ham (10'), Martinez (90+5')
Ham (68')
rhs 2.0
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