Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Palestino had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Palestino win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.