La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 36

May 14, 2025 at 6pm UK

Estadio de Mendizorroza

Alaves
1 - 0
Valencia

Jordan (79' pen.)
Garces (69'), Benavidez (90+2'), Jordan (90+6'), Mourino (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Duro (41'), Mamardashvili (75'), Aarons (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Alaves
Sunday, May 11 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Valencia

All competitions

Last Game: Valencia 3-0 Getafe
Saturday, May 10 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 37.33%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.77%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (11.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alaves in this match.

Result
Alaves	Draw	Valencia
37.33% ( -1.2)	28.57% ( 0.47)	34.1% ( 0.73)

Both teams to score 46.03% (

-1.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.62% (

-1.6)

60.38% (

1.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.48% (

-1.23)

80.53% (

1.23)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.9% (

-1.52)

31.1% (

1.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.57% (

-1.82)

67.43% (

1.82)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.81% (

-0.33)

33.19% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.21% (

-0.37)

69.8% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

Alaves 37.33%

Valencia 34.1%

Draw 28.56%

Alaves	Draw	Valencia
1-0 @ 12.05% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 3.02% ( -0.24) 3-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.15) Other @ 3.04% Total : 37.33%	1-1 @ 13.29% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 10.32% ( 0.6) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.56%	0-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.57) 1-2 @ 7.33% 0-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.26) 1-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.53% Total : 34.1%