Alaves

1 - 0

Valencia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 37.33%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.77%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (11.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alaves in this match.