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La Liga | Gameweek 34
May 5, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Alaves logo

Valencia
0 - 1
Alaves


Duro (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lopez (68')
Blanco (11'), Tenaglia (22'), Omorodion (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 4-2 Valencia
Monday, April 29 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Alaves 3-0 Celta Vigo
Saturday, April 27 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Valencia 2-0 Alaves

Valencia are in need of a win this weekend after two disappointing results, but Alaves are capable of making this a tricky match. That said, we are expecting Los Che to get the job done in front of their own fans, with Hugo Duro potentially adding to the 13 league goals that he has managed this term. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 43.35%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 27.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.97%) and 2-1 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.19%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.

Result
ValenciaDrawAlaves
43.35% (0.261 0.26) 29.58% (-0.202 -0.2) 27.07% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
Both teams to score 40.99% (0.444 0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.6% (0.564 0.56)65.4% (-0.563 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.83% (0.389 0.39)84.17% (-0.38800000000001 -0.39)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.9% (0.43000000000001 0.43)30.1% (-0.43 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.76% (0.512 0.51)66.24% (-0.511 -0.51)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.64% (0.277 0.28)41.36% (-0.276 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.13% (0.243 0.24)77.87% (-0.242 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 43.35%
    Alaves 27.07%
    Draw 29.57%
ValenciaDrawAlaves
1-0 @ 14.94% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-0 @ 8.97% (0.026000000000002 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.92% (0.083 0.08)
3-0 @ 3.59% (0.052 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.17% (0.07 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.4% (0.041 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.08% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 0.95% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 43.35%
1-1 @ 13.19% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 12.44% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-2 @ 3.5% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 29.57%
0-1 @ 10.99% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-2 @ 5.83% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.85% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.72% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.43% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.03% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 27.07%

How you voted: Valencia vs Alaves

Valencia
78.4%
Draw
13.5%
Alaves
8.1%
74
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 4
Alaves
1-0
Valencia
Ozkacar (6' og.)
Guridi (38'), Gorosabel (45+2'), Guevara (82'), Benavidez (89'), Garcia (90+5')

Gaya (45+2'), Diakhaby (86')
Feb 13, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 24
Alaves
2-1
Valencia
N'Diaye (14'), Joselu (76' pen.)
Tenaglia (37'), Pina (45+2'), Escalante (61'), Laguardia (90+7')
Guedes (62' pen.)
Diakhaby (76'), Lato (84'), Gil (88')
Aug 27, 2021 9.15pm
Gameweek 3
Valencia
3-0
Alaves
Wass (3'), Soler (45+2'), Guedes (60')
Diakhaby (86')

Lejeune (28'), N'Diaye (45'), Pacheco (61'), Miazga (61')
Apr 24, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 32
Valencia
1-1
Alaves
Gaya (89')
Gaya (4'), Guillamon (37'), Vallejo (81'), Soler (83')
Guidetti (84')
Calleja Revilla (49')
Lopez (87')
Nov 22, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 10
Alaves
2-2
Valencia
Navarro (2'), Perez (16' pen.)
Lejeune (37')
Vallejo (72'), Guillamon (77')
Guillamon (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona35264595365982
2Real Madrid35236672373575
3Atletico MadridAtletico352010560273370
4Athletic Bilbao351713551262564
5Villarreal351710861471461
6Real BetisBetis351610953431058
7Celta Vigo36157145654252
8Rayo Vallecano351211123742-547
9Mallorca35138143340-747
10Osasuna351015104351-845
11Valencia351112124351-845
12Real Sociedad36127173242-1043
13Sevilla361011154049-941
14GironaGirona36118174253-1141
15Getafe35109163134-339
16Espanyol35109163847-939
17AlavesAlaves35811163547-1235
18Leganes35713153553-1834
19Las PalmasLas Palmas3688204058-1832
RReal ValladolidValladolid3644282686-6016


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