

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 43.35%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 27.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.97%) and 2-1 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.19%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Valencia | Draw | Alaves | 
| 43.35% (  0.26) | 29.58% (  -0.2) | 27.07% (  -0.06) | 
| Both teams to score 40.99% (  0.44) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 34.6% (  0.56) | 65.4% (  -0.56) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 15.83% (  0.39) | 84.17% (  -0.39) | 
| Valencia Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 69.9% (  0.43) | 30.1% (  -0.43) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.76% (  0.51) | 66.24% (  -0.51) | 
| Alaves Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 58.64% (  0.28) | 41.36% (  -0.28) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.13% (  0.24) | 77.87% (  -0.24) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Valencia | Draw | Alaves | 
| 1-0 @ 14.94% (  -0.14) 2-0 @ 8.97% (  0.03) 2-1 @ 7.92% (  0.08) 3-0 @ 3.59% (  0.05) 3-1 @ 3.17% (  0.07) 3-2 @ 1.4% (  0.04) 4-0 @ 1.08% (  0.03) 4-1 @ 0.95% (  0.03) Other @ 1.32% Total : 43.35% | 1-1 @ 13.19% (  -0.02) 0-0 @ 12.44% (  -0.26) 2-2 @ 3.5% (  0.06) Other @ 0.44% Total : 29.57% | 0-1 @ 10.99% (  -0.14) 1-2 @ 5.83% (  0.04) 0-2 @ 4.85% (  -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.72% (  0.02) 0-3 @ 1.43% (  0) 2-3 @ 1.03% (  0.03) Other @ 1.23% Total : 27.07% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barcelona | 35 | 26 | 4 | 5 | 95 | 36 | 59 | 82 | 
| 2 | Real Madrid | 35 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 72 | 37 | 35 | 75 | 
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 60 | 27 | 33 | 70 | 
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 26 | 25 | 64 | 
| 5 | Villarreal | 35 | 17 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 47 | 14 | 61 | 
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 53 | 43 | 10 | 58 | 
| 7 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 56 | 54 | 2 | 52 | 
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 47 | 
| 9 | Mallorca | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 47 | 
| 10 | Osasuna | 35 | 10 | 15 | 10 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 45 | 
| 11 | Valencia | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 45 | 
| 12 | Real Sociedad | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 43 | 
| 13 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 41 | 
| 14 | GironaGirona | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 41 | 
| 15 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 39 | 
| 16 | Espanyol | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 39 | 
| 17 | AlavesAlaves | 35 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 35 | 
| 18 | Leganes | 35 | 7 | 13 | 15 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 34 | 
| 19 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 32 | 
| R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 36 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 26 | 86 | -60 | 16 | 
| > La Liga Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
