Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 43.35%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 27.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.97%) and 2-1 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.19%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
Result | ||
Valencia | Draw | Alaves |
43.35% (![]() | 29.58% (![]() | 27.07% (![]() |
Both teams to score 40.99% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
34.6% (![]() | 65.4% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
15.83% (![]() | 84.17% (![]() |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.9% (![]() | 30.1% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.76% (![]() | 66.24% (![]() |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.64% (![]() | 41.36% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.13% (![]() | 77.87% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Valencia | Draw | Alaves |
1-0 @ 14.94% (![]() 2-0 @ 8.97% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 7.92% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.59% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.17% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.4% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.08% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 1.32% Total : 43.35% | 1-1 @ 13.19% (![]() 0-0 @ 12.44% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.5% ( ![]() Other @ 0.44% Total : 29.57% | 0-1 @ 10.99% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.83% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.85% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.72% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.43% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 1.23% Total : 27.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 35 | 26 | 4 | 5 | 95 | 36 | 59 | 82 |
2 | Real Madrid | 35 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 72 | 37 | 35 | 75 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 60 | 27 | 33 | 70 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 26 | 25 | 64 |
5 | Villarreal | 35 | 17 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 47 | 14 | 61 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 53 | 43 | 10 | 58 |
7 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 56 | 54 | 2 | 52 |
8 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 47 |
9 | Mallorca | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 47 |
10 | Osasuna | 35 | 10 | 15 | 10 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 45 |
11 | Valencia | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Real Sociedad | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 43 |
13 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 41 |
14 | GironaGirona | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 41 |
15 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 39 |
16 | Espanyol | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 39 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 35 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 35 |
18 | Leganes | 35 | 7 | 13 | 15 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 34 |
19 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 32 |
R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 36 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 26 | 86 | -60 | 16 |
> La Liga Full Table |