

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 43.35%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 27.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.97%) and 2-1 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.19%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Valencia | Draw | Alaves |
| 43.35% ( | 29.58% ( | 27.07% ( |
| Both teams to score 40.99% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.6% ( | 65.4% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.83% ( | 84.17% ( |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.9% ( | 30.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.76% ( | 66.24% ( |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.64% ( | 41.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.13% ( | 77.87% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Valencia | Draw | Alaves |
| 1-0 @ 14.94% ( 2-0 @ 8.97% ( 2-1 @ 7.92% ( 3-0 @ 3.59% ( 3-1 @ 3.17% ( 3-2 @ 1.4% ( 4-0 @ 1.08% ( 4-1 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 1.32% Total : 43.35% | 1-1 @ 13.19% ( 0-0 @ 12.44% ( 2-2 @ 3.5% ( Other @ 0.44% Total : 29.57% | 0-1 @ 10.99% ( 1-2 @ 5.83% ( 0-2 @ 4.85% ( 1-3 @ 1.72% ( 0-3 @ 1.43% ( 2-3 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 1.23% Total : 27.07% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barcelona | 35 | 26 | 4 | 5 | 95 | 36 | 59 | 82 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 35 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 72 | 37 | 35 | 75 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 60 | 27 | 33 | 70 |
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 26 | 25 | 64 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 35 | 17 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 47 | 14 | 61 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 53 | 43 | 10 | 58 |
| 7 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 56 | 54 | 2 | 52 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 47 |
| 9 | Mallorca | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 47 |
| 10 | Osasuna | 35 | 10 | 15 | 10 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 45 |
| 11 | Valencia | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 45 |
| 12 | Real Sociedad | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 43 |
| 13 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 41 |
| 14 | GironaGirona | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 39 |
| 16 | Espanyol | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 39 |
| 17 | AlavesAlaves | 35 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 35 |
| 18 | Leganes | 35 | 7 | 13 | 15 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 34 |
| 19 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 32 |
| R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 36 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 26 | 86 | -60 | 16 |
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