La Liga | Gameweek 32
Apr 21, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Alaves2 - 0Atletico
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Granada 2-0 Alaves
Sunday, April 14 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Sunday, April 14 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Dortmund 4-2 Atletico
Tuesday, April 16 at 8pm in Champions League
Tuesday, April 16 at 8pm in Champions League
We said: Alaves 1-2 Atletico Madrid
Atletico have won five of the last six La Liga meetings between these two sides, but Alaves did record a 1-0 victory in the corresponding contest during the 2021-22 campaign. Alaves will certainly be the fresher of the two teams for this match, but we are expecting Atletico to navigate their way to an important three points on Sunday evening. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
31.87% ( 0.03) | 27.92% ( 0.09) | 40.21% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 47.44% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
