La Liga | Gameweek 28
Mar 21, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Vicente Calderon Stadium
Atletico
1 - 0
Alaves
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 70.45%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 10.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.11%) and 3-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Alaves |
| 70.45% | 19.15% | 10.4% |
| Both teams to score 40.71% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
