La Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 3, 2021 at 3.15pm UK
Mendizorroza, Vitoria, Basque Country
Alaves
1 - 2
Atletico
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 66.56%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 11.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (15.04%) and 0-3 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 11.4% | 22.04% | 66.56% |
| Both teams to score 36.25% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
