Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 54.44%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 19.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.41%) and 1-2 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
