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Ligue 1
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22
Feb 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Nice
Marseille
1 - 3
Nice
Malinovskyi (60')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Diop (38'), Laborde (44'), Brahimi (85')
Ndayishimiye (59')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 0-2 Marseille
Wednesday, February 1 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Nice

All competitions
Last Game: Lens 0-1 Nice
Wednesday, February 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Marseille 1-1 Nice

 Rearguard solidity has been the theme for Digard and his defence-heavy 5-4-1 formation, which Marseille will certainly have a hard time breaking down, despite their plentiful attacking options. Tudor's side may already have one eye on Le Classique too, and for that reason, we would not be surprised to see an in-form Nice travel back to the Riviera with a hard-earned point to their name. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 58.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Nice had a probability of 18.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
MarseilleDrawNice
58.11% (0.068999999999996 0.07) 22.92% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 18.97% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 50.29% (-0.116 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.23% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)48.77% (0.089999999999996 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.13% (-0.084 -0.08)70.87% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.51% (-0.012 -0.01)16.49% (0.0059999999999967 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.79% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)46.21% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.23% (-0.134 -0.13)39.77% (0.13 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.56% (-0.123 -0.12)76.44% (0.119 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 58.11%
    Nice 18.97%
    Draw 22.91%
MarseilleDrawNice
1-0 @ 11.82% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 10.65% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 6.4% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.9% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.88% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.66% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 58.11%
1-1 @ 10.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.56% (0.025 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 22.91%
0-1 @ 6.05% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 5.02% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.79% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.54% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 18.97%

How you voted: Marseille vs Nice

Marseille
81.4%
Draw
12.8%
Nice
5.8%
86
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2022 2pm
Nice
0-3
Marseille

Beka Beka (57')
Sanchez (10', 42'), Tavares (37')
Tavares (71')
Mar 20, 2022 7.45pm
Marseille
2-1
Nice
Milik (45+3' pen.), Bakambu (89')
Caleta-Car (60'), Saliba (90+1')
Lemina (90+1')
Bard (45'), Lemina (90+2')
Feb 9, 2022 8.15pm
Quarter-Finals
Nice
4-1
Marseille
Gouiri (10'), Kluivert (29', 49'), Delort (61')
Kluivert (32'), Daniliuc (90')
Bard (3' og.)
Sampaoli (34'), Balerdi (40')
Oct 27, 2021 8pm
Nice
1-1
Marseille
Gouiri (6')
Guessand (31'), Todibo (90+2')
Payet (42')
Lopez (90+1'), Kamara (90+3')
Mar 20, 2021 4pm
Nice
3-0
Marseille
Thuram (34'), Gouiri (74'), Claude-Maurice (90+1')
Benitez (90')

Caleta-Car (78')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG37274687375085
2Lens37249465283781
3Marseille37227867392873
4Lille37199964432166
5Rennes372051267382965
6MonacoMonaco371981069561365
7Lyon371881164442062
8Clermont37168134247-556
9Nice371413104536955
10Lorient371410135052-252
11Reims371215104442251
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier37145186261147
13Toulouse37129164956-745
14Brest371111154352-944
15StrasbourgStrasbourg37913155057-740
16Auxerre37811183460-2635
17NantesNantes37615163655-1933
RTroyes37411224480-3623
RAjaccio3765262274-5223
RAngers3746273380-4718
> Ligue 1 Full Table
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