Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 39.22%. A win for had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest win was 1-0 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%).
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Eibar |
| 32.93% | 27.84% | 39.22% |
| Both teams to score 47.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.07% | 57.93% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.36% | 78.63% |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.28% | 32.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.73% | 69.27% |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.24% | 28.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.39% | 64.6% |
| Score Analysis |
| Alaves | Draw | Eibar |
| 1-0 @ 10.51% 2-1 @ 7.32% 2-0 @ 5.87% 3-1 @ 2.73% 3-0 @ 2.19% 3-2 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.62% Total : 32.93% | 1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 9.41% 2-2 @ 4.56% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.84% | 0-1 @ 11.72% 1-2 @ 8.16% 0-2 @ 7.31% 1-3 @ 3.39% 0-3 @ 3.04% 2-3 @ 1.89% 1-4 @ 1.06% 0-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.71% Total : 39.22% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barcelona | 19 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 39 | 7 | 32 | 50 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 40 | 16 | 24 | 45 |
| 3 | Real Sociedad | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 39 |
| 4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 35 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 31 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 31 |
| 7 | Athletic Bilbao | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 29 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 29 |
| 9 | Osasuna | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 29 |
| 10 | Mallorca | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 25 |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 23 |
| 12 | Almeria | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 22 |
| 13 | GironaGirona | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 21 |
| 14 | Sevilla | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 21 |
| 15 | Espanyol | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 21 |
| 16 | Valencia | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 20 |
| 17 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 28 | -14 | 20 |
| 18 | CadizCadiz | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 33 | -18 | 19 |
| 19 | Getafe | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 18 |
| 20 | ElcheElche | 20 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 40 | -25 | 9 |
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