

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 65.25%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 13.07%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.64%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 65.25% | 21.68% | 13.07% |
| Both teams to score 41.48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.2% | 53.8% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.73% | 75.27% |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.18% | 15.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.01% | 44.99% |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.27% | 50.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 14.84% | 85.15% |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 1-0 @ 14.79% 2-0 @ 13.64% 2-1 @ 9.26% 3-0 @ 8.39% 3-1 @ 5.69% 4-0 @ 3.87% 4-1 @ 2.62% 3-2 @ 1.93% 5-0 @ 1.43% 5-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.66% Total : 65.24% | 1-1 @ 10.04% 0-0 @ 8.02% 2-2 @ 3.14% Other @ 0.47% Total : 21.68% | 0-1 @ 5.45% 1-2 @ 3.41% 0-2 @ 1.85% Other @ 2.36% Total : 13.07% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barcelona | 31 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 84 | 29 | 55 | 70 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 31 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 64 | 31 | 33 | 66 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 49 | 24 | 25 | 60 |
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 31 | 15 | 12 | 4 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 57 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 51 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 48 |
| 7 | Celta Vigo | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 44 | 45 | -1 | 43 |
| 8 | Mallorca | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 43 |
| 9 | Real Sociedad | 31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 41 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 40 |
| 11 | Getafe | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 39 |
| 12 | Osasuna | 31 | 8 | 14 | 9 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 38 |
| 13 | Valencia | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 37 |
| 14 | Sevilla | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 36 |
| 15 | Espanyol | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 35 |
| 16 | GironaGirona | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 34 |
| 17 | AlavesAlaves | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 30 |
| 18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 37 | 52 | -15 | 29 |
| 19 | Leganes | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 28 |
| 20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 30 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 69 | -50 | 16 |
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