Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 59.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 17.14%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.64%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Valencia win it was 1-0 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match.
| Result | ||
| Valencia | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 17.14% | 22.94% | 59.91% |
| Both teams to score 46.92% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.46% | 51.54% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.66% | 73.34% |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.43% | 43.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.23% | 79.76% |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.15% | 16.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.15% | 46.85% |
| Score Analysis |
| Valencia | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 6.1% 2-1 @ 4.51% 2-0 @ 2.53% 3-1 @ 1.25% 3-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.63% Total : 17.14% | 1-1 @ 10.86% 0-0 @ 7.34% 2-2 @ 4.02% Other @ 0.73% Total : 22.94% | 0-1 @ 13.07% 0-2 @ 11.64% 1-2 @ 9.67% 0-3 @ 6.91% 1-3 @ 5.74% 0-4 @ 3.08% 1-4 @ 2.56% 2-3 @ 2.39% 0-5 @ 1.1% 2-4 @ 1.06% 1-5 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.79% Total : 59.91% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barcelona | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 47 | 8 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 25 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 50 | 19 | 31 | 56 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 42 | 19 | 23 | 51 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 45 |
| 5 | Real BetisBetis | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 42 |
| 6 | Villarreal | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 38 |
| 7 | Athletic Bilbao | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 36 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
| 9 | Osasuna | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 34 |
| 10 | Celta Vigo | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 34 |
| 11 | Mallorca | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 32 |
| 12 | GironaGirona | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 31 |
| 13 | Sevilla | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 28 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 21 | 38 | -17 | 28 |
| 15 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 28 |
| 16 | Espanyol | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 27 |
| 17 | Valencia | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 26 |
| 18 | Almeria | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 26 |
| 19 | Getafe | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 26 |
| 20 | ElcheElche | 25 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 19 | 49 | -30 | 13 |
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