MX23RW : Saturday, May 24 21:24:30| >> :300:86500:86500:
Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 28
Apr 14, 2025 at 6pm UK
Stadion Energa Gdansk

Gdansk
3 - 2
Stal Mielec

Bobcek (72', 90+1'), Neugebauer (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Gerbowski (33'), Cavaleiro (42')
Esselink (47')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Lechia Gdansk and Stal Mielec.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Widzew Lodz 2-0 Gdansk
Friday, April 4 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Stal Mielec 1-1 Cracovia
Friday, April 4 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lechia Gdansk win with a probability of 47.09%. A win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 28.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lechia Gdansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Stal Mielec win was 0-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lechia Gdansk would win this match.

Result
Lechia GdanskDrawStal Mielec
47.09% (0.049999999999997 0.05) 24.62% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 28.29% (-0.081 -0.08)
Both teams to score 55.85% (-0.164 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.27% (-0.19 -0.19)46.73% (0.192 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.01% (-0.177 -0.18)68.99% (0.179 0.18)
Lechia Gdansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.08% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)19.92% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.94% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)52.06% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Stal Mielec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.75% (-0.155 -0.16)30.25% (0.159 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.58% (-0.191 -0.19)66.42% (0.19200000000001 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Lechia Gdansk 47.09%
    Stal Mielec 28.29%
    Draw 24.61%
Lechia GdanskDrawStal Mielec
1-0 @ 9.72% (0.061 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.38% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 7.84% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.22% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.04% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.7% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 47.09%
1-1 @ 11.62% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.03% (0.048 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.61% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.61%
0-1 @ 7.21% (0.027 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.95% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.31% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
1-3 @ 2.77% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.72% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 28.29%

How you voted: Gdansk vs Stal Mielec

Lechia Gdansk
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Stal Mielec
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 11.15am
Gameweek 11
Stal Mielec
2-1
Gdansk
Wlazlo (58'), Wolsztynski (90+2')
Knap (21'), Guillaumier (71')
Pila (38')
Pllana (12')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lech Poznan34224868313770
2Rakow CzestochowaRakow34209551232869
3Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia341710756421461
4Pogon SzczecinSzczecin341771059401958
5Legia WarsawLegia341591060451554
6KS CracoviaCracovia34149115853551
7Katowice34147134947249
8Motor Lublin34147134859-1149
9Gornik ZabrzeGornik34138134339447
10Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice341112113736145
11Korona Kielce341112113745-845
12Radomiak Radom34118154852-441
13Widzew Lodz34117163849-1140
14Lechia GdanskGdansk34107174459-1537
15Zaglebie Lubin34106183351-1836
16Stal Mielec34710173956-1731
17Slask Wroclaw34612163853-1530
18Puszcza Niepolomice34610183763-2628


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!