MX23RW : Wednesday, May 14 09:22:49| >> :300:86500:86500:
Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 26
Mar 30, 2025 at 1.45pm UK
Arena Lublin

Motor Lublin
4 - 1
Stal Mielec

Madrzyk (28' og.), Ede (49'), Labojko (60'), Mraz (82')
Najemski (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Wolkowicz (90+8')
Guillaumier (21')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Motor Lublin and Stal Mielec.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gornik 4-0 Motor Lublin
Saturday, March 15 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Stal Mielec 1-4 Slask Wroclaw
Saturday, March 15 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motor Lublin win with a probability of 50.68%. A win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 25.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motor Lublin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Stal Mielec win was 0-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motor Lublin would win this match.

Result
Motor LublinDrawStal Mielec
50.68% (0.424 0.42) 24.17% (-0.083000000000002 -0.08) 25.16% (-0.335 -0.33)
Both teams to score 54.61% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.88% (0.075000000000003 0.08)47.12% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.65% (0.068999999999999 0.07)69.36% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)
Motor Lublin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.39% (0.197 0.2)18.62% (-0.192 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.09% (0.32700000000001 0.33)49.91% (-0.322 -0.32)
Stal Mielec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.1% (-0.238 -0.24)32.91% (0.24299999999999 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.52% (-0.266 -0.27)69.48% (0.271 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Motor Lublin 50.67%
    Stal Mielec 25.16%
    Draw 24.16%
Motor LublinDrawStal Mielec
1-0 @ 10.29% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.62% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.66% (0.081 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.39% (0.048 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.85% (0.075 0.08)
3-2 @ 3% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.27% (0.034 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.04% (0.044 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 50.67%
1-1 @ 11.44% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.13% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.16%
0-1 @ 6.81% (-0.065 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.36% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-2 @ 3.78% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.36% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.4% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 25.16%

Head to Head
Sep 22, 2024 11.15am
Gameweek 9
Stal Mielec
1-0
Motor Lublin
Krykun (50')
Assayag (90+2')

Jacques Ndiaye (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lech Poznan32213865293666
2Rakow CzestochowaRakow32198548212765
3Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia32178754401459
4Pogon SzczecinSzczecin311651052361653
5Legia WarsawLegia31148955401550
6Gornik ZabrzeGornik32137124236646
7KS CracoviaCracovia32129115351245
8Katowice32136134443145
9Korona Kielce321110113543-843
10Motor Lublin31127124454-1043
11Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice321012103535042
12Radomiak Radom32117144447-340
13Widzew Lodz31107143545-1037
14Lechia GdanskGdansk32106163953-1436
15Zaglebie Lubin32106163248-1636
16Stal Mielec3278173552-1729
17Slask Wroclaw32610163651-1528
18Puszcza Niepolomice3269173660-2427


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