MX23RW : Sunday, April 13 02:11:42| >> :300:86500:86500:
Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 22
Feb 24, 2025 at 6pm UK
Arena Lublin

Motor Lublin
3 - 2
Katowice

Ceglarz (15'), van Hoeven (21'), Mraz (57')
van Hoeven (28'), Wojcik (73'), Stolarski (80')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Bergier (8'), Galan (51')
Kuusk (18'), Galan (88'), Szymczak (90')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Motor Lublin and Katowice.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Jagiellonia 3-0 Motor Lublin
Sunday, February 16 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Katowice 0-0 Piast Gliwice
Sunday, February 16 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motor Lublin win with a probability of 54.13%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Katowice had a probability of 22.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motor Lublin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Katowice win it was 0-1 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motor Lublin would win this match.

Result
Motor LublinDrawKatowice
54.13% (-0.34 -0.34) 23.5% (0.188 0.19) 22.38% (0.15 0.15)
Both teams to score 53.56% (-0.402 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.03% (-0.634 -0.63)46.97% (0.632 0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.79% (-0.594 -0.59)69.21% (0.592 0.59)
Motor Lublin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.74% (-0.35299999999999 -0.35)17.26% (0.351 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.42% (-0.625 -0.63)47.58% (0.623 0.62)
Katowice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.74% (-0.211 -0.21)35.27% (0.209 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.98% (-0.219 -0.22)72.02% (0.218 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Motor Lublin 54.12%
    Katowice 22.38%
    Draw 23.49%
Motor LublinDrawKatowice
1-0 @ 10.69% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 9.79% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.39% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.73% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
3-0 @ 5.5% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.52% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.42% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 54.12%
1-1 @ 11.14% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 6.09% (0.159 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.1% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.49%
0-1 @ 6.34% (0.131 0.13)
1-2 @ 5.81% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.31% (0.05 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.15% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 22.38%

How you voted: Motor Lublin vs Katowice

Motor Lublin
100%
Draw
0.0%
Katowice
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Aug 16, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 5
Katowice
0-0
Motor Lublin
Rogala (12'), Galan (65'), Kuusk (84')
Kubica (45+5'), Bartos (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Rakow CzestochowaRakow28178342182459
2Lech Poznan27172850242653
3Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia27157548321652
4Pogon SzczecinSzczecin27145845281747
5Legia WarsawLegia27128750361444
6KS CracoviaCracovia2811985045542
7Gornik ZabrzeGornik28124123935440
8Motor Lublin2711794046-640
9Katowice28116113837139
10Widzew Lodz28106123341-836
11Korona Kielce2899102737-1036
12Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice2781092729-234
13Radomiak Radom28104143843-534
14Zaglebie Lubin2885152441-1729
15Puszcza Niepolomice2868142742-1526
16Slask Wroclaw28510133343-1025
17Stal Mielec2766152843-1524
18Lechia GdanskGdansk2766152746-1924


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