Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 13, 2025 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Braga4 - 1AVS
We said: Braga 2-0 AVS
Braga have won each of their last seven games on home turf across all competitions and have kept clean sheets in five of those, so anything short of a convincing victory for the hosts would be a real shock. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 77.46%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for AVS had a probability of 7.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.1%) and 1-0 (10.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.05%), while for an AVS win it was 0-1 (2.84%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | AVS |
77.46% ( -0.31) | 14.82% ( 0.18) | 7.72% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 43.83% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
