MX23RW : Sunday, April 20 05:18:39| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Farense logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2025 at 6pm UK
Estadio de Sao Luis

Farense
0 - 1
AVS


Lopes (63'), Velho (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Luis (90+6' pen.)
Tavares (8'), Grau (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and AVS, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arouca 2-2 Farense
Sunday, February 23 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: AVS 2-2 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, February 23 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: SC Farense 2-1 AVS

With both sides having earned morale-boosting draws in their previous outing, this could prove to be a competitive fixture between two teams on a high. Despite sitting lower in the table, we are going to side with Farense, who may throw caution to the wind in the closing stages if the game is tight. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AVS win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an AVS win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for AVS in this match.

Result
SC FarenseDrawAVS
32.36% (0.012 0.01) 27.43% (0.123 0.12) 40.21% (-0.138 -0.14)
Both teams to score 49.01% (-0.365 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.49% (-0.464 -0.46)56.51% (0.461 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.5% (-0.375 -0.38)77.5% (0.371 0.37)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.62% (-0.229 -0.23)32.38% (0.226 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.11% (-0.258 -0.26)68.89% (0.255 0.25)
AVS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.48% (-0.295 -0.3)27.52% (0.292 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.97% (-0.38399999999999 -0.38)63.03% (0.38 0.38)
Score Analysis
    SC Farense 32.35%
    AVS 40.2%
    Draw 27.42%
SC FarenseDrawAVS
1-0 @ 10.04% (0.106 0.11)
2-1 @ 7.31% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.67% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.75% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.13% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 32.35%
1-1 @ 12.96% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.91% (0.157 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.42%
0-1 @ 11.49% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 8.36% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)
0-2 @ 7.42% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.6% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.19% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.16% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.03% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 40.2%

Head to Head
Sep 30, 2024 8.15pm
Gameweek 7
AVS
0-0
Farense
Grau (21'), Assuncao (22'), Jorge (45'), Barbosa (65'), Piazon (71')
Africo (40'), Lopes (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon30226278255372
2Benfica30233474254972
3Braga30196551252663
4Porto30195657263162
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes30121264132948
6Santa ClaraSanta Clara30145112929047
7FamalicaoFamalicao30111093933643
8Casa Pia30118113538-341
9Estoril PraiaEstoril30109113848-1039
10MoreirenseMoreirense3098133544-935
11Rio AveRio Ave3089133348-1533
12AroucaArouca3089133045-1533
13Nacional3095162741-1432
14Gil Vicente3078153043-1329
15Estrela Amadora3068162243-2126
16AVS30412142349-2624
17SC FarenseFarense3049172041-2121
18BoavistaBoavista3056192047-2721


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