
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 46.01%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for AVS had a probability of 26.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.1%) and 1-2 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for an AVS win it was 1-0 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AVS | Draw | Gil Vicente | 
| 26.46% (  0.47) | 27.53% (  0.18) | 46.01% (  -0.64) | 
| Both teams to score 45.81% (  -0.13) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 40.85% (  -0.34) | 59.15% (  0.34) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 20.41% (  -0.26) | 79.59% (  0.27) | 
| AVS Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 61.65% (  0.21) | 38.35% (  -0.21) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.9% (  0.21) | 75.1% (  -0.2) | 
| Gil Vicente Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 74.29% (  -0.47) | 25.71% (  0.47) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.37% (  -0.65) | 60.63% (  0.65) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| AVS | Draw | Gil Vicente | 
| 1-0 @ 9.45% (  0.18) 2-1 @ 6.15% (  0.07) 2-0 @ 4.53% (  0.11) 3-1 @ 1.97% (  0.03) 3-0 @ 1.45% (  0.04) 3-2 @ 1.34% (  0) Other @ 1.58% Total : 26.46% | 1-1 @ 12.83% (  0.07) 0-0 @ 9.86% (  0.13) 2-2 @ 4.18% (  -0.01) Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.52% | 0-1 @ 13.39% 0-2 @ 9.1% (  -0.13) 1-2 @ 8.72% (  -0.07) 0-3 @ 4.12% (  -0.12) 1-3 @ 3.95% (  -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.89% (  -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.4% (  -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.34% (  -0.05) Other @ 2.11% Total : 46.01% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 67 | 22 | 45 | 59 | 
| 2 | Benfica | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 56 | 18 | 38 | 56 | 
| 3 | Porto | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 50 | 
| 4 | Braga | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 22 | 19 | 50 | 
| 5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 40 | 
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 38 | 
| 7 | Casa Pia | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 36 | 
| 8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 35 | 
| 9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 | 
| 10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 29 | 
| 11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 28 | 
| 12 | AroucaArouca | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 28 | 
| 13 | Nacional | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 26 | 
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 23 | 
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 23 | 
| 16 | AVS | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 23 | 
| 17 | SC FarenseFarense | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 17 | 
| 18 | BoavistaBoavista | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 15 | 
| > Primeira Liga Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
