Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 36.91%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.63%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (11.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.