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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 45.75%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.
Result | ||
Accrington Stanley | Draw | MK Dons |
28.7% (![]() | 25.54% (![]() | 45.75% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.12% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.56% (![]() | 50.44% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.63% (![]() | 72.37% (![]() |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.13% (![]() | 31.88% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.68% (![]() | 68.32% (![]() |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.97% (![]() | 22.03% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.65% (![]() | 55.35% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Accrington Stanley | Draw | MK Dons |
1-0 @ 8.03% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.94% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.59% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.65% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.75% ( ![]() Other @ 2.74% Total : 28.7% | 1-1 @ 12.14% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.02% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.25% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.54% | 0-1 @ 10.62% 1-2 @ 9.19% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 8.04% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.63% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.05% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.65% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.75% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.53% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.29% Total : 45.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 39 | 20 | 11 | 8 | 68 | 44 | 24 | 71 |
2 | Bradford CityBradford | 39 | 20 | 10 | 9 | 52 | 32 | 20 | 70 |
3 | Port Vale | 39 | 18 | 13 | 8 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 67 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 57 | 44 | 13 | 66 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 39 | 18 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 29 | 23 | 65 |
6 | Notts County | 39 | 18 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 39 | 19 | 65 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 39 | 19 | 5 | 15 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 62 |
8 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 39 | 14 | 16 | 9 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 58 |
9 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 39 | 14 | 16 | 9 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 58 |
10 | Salford City | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 47 | 43 | 4 | 56 |
11 | Chesterfield | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 44 | 15 | 55 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 39 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 53 |
13 | Bromley | 39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 52 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 39 | 13 | 11 | 15 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 50 |
15 | Swindon TownSwindon | 39 | 11 | 15 | 13 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 48 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 39 | 13 | 9 | 17 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 48 |
17 | MK Dons | 39 | 13 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 46 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 39 | 13 | 7 | 19 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 46 |
19 | Gillingham | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 44 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 39 | 10 | 12 | 17 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 42 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 42 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 39 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 40 |
23 | Morecambe | 39 | 9 | 6 | 24 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 33 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 39 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 30 | 59 | -29 | 31 |
> League Two Full Table |