MX23RW : Tuesday, April 1 13:58:21| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
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Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Accrington Stanley
League Two | Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Wham Stadium
MK Dons

Accrington
2 - 0
MK Dons

Walton (24'), O'Brien-Whitmarsh (39')
Quirk (89'), Walton (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Patterson (59'), Lawrence (62'), Offord (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Harrogate 2-1 Accrington
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 0-1 Colchester
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-0 MK Dons

Without a head coach in place for Tuesday's match, MK Dons may be somewhat disorganised and could be vulnerable defensively. It is difficult to see Accrington winning comfortably at Crown Ground given their poor record at the stadium recently, but their home support could buoy them to victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 45.75%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawMK Dons
28.7% (0.050000000000001 0.05) 25.54% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 45.75% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)
Both teams to score 53.12% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.56% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)50.44% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.63% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)72.37% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.13% (0.015000000000001 0.02)31.88% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.68% (0.018000000000001 0.02)68.32% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.97% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)22.03% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.65% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)55.35% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 28.7%
    MK Dons 45.75%
    Draw 25.54%
Accrington StanleyDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 8.03% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.94% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.59% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.65% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.75% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 28.7%
1-1 @ 12.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.02% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.54%
0-1 @ 10.62%
1-2 @ 9.19% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.04% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.63% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.05% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.75% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.53% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 45.75%

How you voted: Accrington vs MK Dons

Accrington Stanley
75.0%
Draw
0.0%
MK Dons
25.0%
8
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
MK Dons
2-1
Accrington
Gilbey (1'), Tomlinson (58')
Gilbey (35'), Tomlinson (72'), Lewington (73'), Offord (86')
Woods (67')
Whalley (43'), Coyle (52'), Batty (72'), Love (81'), Rawson (83'), Hunter (90+3')
Feb 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 32
MK Dons
2-1
Accrington
Payne (71'), Tomlinson (90+3')
Payne (77')
Nolan (11')
Gubbins (29'), Coleman (30'), Martin (34'), Conneely (58'), Woods (65'), O'Brien (79'), Nolan (90')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Accrington
1-0
MK Dons
Whalley (31')
Woods (41'), Whalley (61')

Harvie (56')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
MK Dons
1-1
Accrington
Robson (30')
Johnson (61'), Lawrence (70')
McConville (78' pen.)
Astley (10'), Clark (43'), Hamilton (60'), McConville (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall392011868442471
2Bradford CityBradford392010952322070
3Port Vale391813849381167
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster381991057441366
5AFC Wimbledon3918111052292365
6Notts County3918111058391965
7Grimsby Town39195155455-162
8Colchester UnitedColchester39141694739858
9Crewe AlexandraCrewe39141694539658
10Salford City381511124743456
11Chesterfield3815101359441555
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood391314125348553
13Bromley391313135150152
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham391311155157-650
15Swindon TownSwindon391115135556-148
16BarrowBarrow39139174346-348
17MK Dons39137195159-846
18Newport CountyNewport39137194864-1646
19Gillingham381111163240-844
20Accrington StanleyAccrington391012174555-1042
21Harrogate TownHarrogate39119193049-1942
22Tranmere RoversTranmere39913173055-2540
23Morecambe3996243457-2333
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle39710223059-2931


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