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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 45.75%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.
Result | ||
Accrington Stanley | Draw | MK Dons |
28.7% (![]() | 25.54% (![]() | 45.75% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.12% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.56% (![]() | 50.44% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.63% (![]() | 72.37% (![]() |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.13% (![]() | 31.88% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.68% (![]() | 68.32% (![]() |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.97% (![]() | 22.03% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.65% (![]() | 55.35% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Accrington Stanley | Draw | MK Dons |
1-0 @ 8.03% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.94% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.59% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.65% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.75% ( ![]() Other @ 2.74% Total : 28.7% | 1-1 @ 12.14% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.02% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.25% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.54% | 0-1 @ 10.62% 1-2 @ 9.19% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 8.04% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.63% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.05% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.65% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.75% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.53% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.29% Total : 45.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 24 | 12 | 10 | 73 | 50 | 23 | 84 |
P | Port Vale | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 80 |
P | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 64 | 45 | 19 | 78 |
4 | Walsall | 46 | 21 | 14 | 11 | 75 | 54 | 21 | 77 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 20 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 73 |
6 | Notts County | 46 | 20 | 12 | 14 | 68 | 49 | 19 | 72 |
7 | Chesterfield | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 73 | 54 | 19 | 70 |
8 | Salford City | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 69 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 20 | 8 | 18 | 61 | 67 | -6 | 68 |
10 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 16 | 19 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 67 |
11 | Bromley | 46 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 64 | 59 | 5 | 66 |
12 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 71 | 63 | 8 | 62 |
13 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 62 |
14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 60 |
15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 60 | 70 | -10 | 60 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 59 |
17 | Gillingham | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 58 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 43 | 61 | -18 | 53 |
19 | MK Dons | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 52 | 66 | -14 | 52 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 45 | 65 | -20 | 51 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 53 | 69 | -16 | 50 |
22 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 52 | 76 | -24 | 49 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 42 |
R | Morecambe | 46 | 10 | 6 | 30 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 36 |
> League Two Full Table |