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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
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Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
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Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Accrington Stanley
League Two | Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Wham Stadium
MK Dons

Accrington
2 - 0
MK Dons

Walton (24'), O'Brien-Whitmarsh (39')
Quirk (89'), Walton (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Patterson (59'), Lawrence (62'), Offord (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Harrogate 2-1 Accrington
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 0-1 Colchester
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-0 MK Dons

Without a head coach in place for Tuesday's match, MK Dons may be somewhat disorganised and could be vulnerable defensively. It is difficult to see Accrington winning comfortably at Crown Ground given their poor record at the stadium recently, but their home support could buoy them to victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 45.75%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawMK Dons
28.7% (0.050000000000001 0.05) 25.54% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 45.75% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)
Both teams to score 53.12% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.56% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)50.44% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.63% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)72.37% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.13% (0.015000000000001 0.02)31.88% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.68% (0.018000000000001 0.02)68.32% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.97% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)22.03% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.65% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)55.35% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 28.7%
    MK Dons 45.75%
    Draw 25.54%
Accrington StanleyDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 8.03% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.94% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.59% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.65% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.75% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 28.7%
1-1 @ 12.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.02% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.54%
0-1 @ 10.62%
1-2 @ 9.19% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.04% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.63% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.05% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.75% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.53% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 45.75%

How you voted: Accrington vs MK Dons

Accrington Stanley
75.0%
Draw
0.0%
MK Dons
25.0%
8
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
MK Dons
2-1
Accrington
Gilbey (1'), Tomlinson (58')
Gilbey (35'), Tomlinson (72'), Lewington (73'), Offord (86')
Woods (67')
Whalley (43'), Coyle (52'), Batty (72'), Love (81'), Rawson (83'), Hunter (90+3')
Feb 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 32
MK Dons
2-1
Accrington
Payne (71'), Tomlinson (90+3')
Payne (77')
Nolan (11')
Gubbins (29'), Coleman (30'), Martin (34'), Conneely (58'), Woods (65'), O'Brien (79'), Nolan (90')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Accrington
1-0
MK Dons
Whalley (31')
Woods (41'), Whalley (61')

Harvie (56')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
MK Dons
1-1
Accrington
Robson (30')
Johnson (61'), Lawrence (70')
McConville (78' pen.)
Astley (10'), Clark (43'), Hamilton (60'), McConville (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236


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