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Dundee United
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 38
May 17, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Tannadice Park
Aberdeen logo

Dundee Utd
2 - 1
Aberdeen

Gallagher (56'), Dalby (63' pen.)
Ferry (60')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Okkels (15')
Gueye (57'), Tobers (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Dundee United and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rangers 3-1 Dundee Utd
Wednesday, May 14 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 1-5 Celtic
Wednesday, May 14 at 8pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee United would win this match.

Result
Dundee UnitedDrawAberdeen
38.53% (0.323 0.32)25.51% (0.036999999999999 0.04)35.96% (-0.365 -0.37)
Both teams to score 55.89% (-0.162 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.97% (-0.196 -0.2)48.03% (0.191 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.8% (-0.178 -0.18)70.2% (0.17399999999999 0.17)
Dundee United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.48% (0.084000000000003 0.08)24.52% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.01% (0.12 0.12)58.99% (-0.124 -0.12)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.05% (-0.3 -0.3)25.95% (0.296 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.05% (-0.404 -0.4)60.95% (0.401 0.4)
Score Analysis
    Dundee United 38.53%
    Aberdeen 35.96%
    Draw 25.5%
Dundee UnitedDrawAberdeen
1-0 @ 8.94% (0.093 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.48% (0.038 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.29% (0.081 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.97% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.95% (0.045 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.4% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 38.53%
1-1 @ 12.06% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.36% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.72% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.5%
0-1 @ 8.58% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.14% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.79% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.66% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.6% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 35.96%

How you voted: Dundee Utd vs Aberdeen

Dundee United
61.1%
Draw
33.3%
Aberdeen
5.6%
18
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 29
Aberdeen
2-2
Dundee Utd
Nisbet (75', 90+1')
Morris (85')
Sevelj (20'), Dalby (45+9')
Adegboyega (45'), Strain (73')
Dec 29, 2024 5.15pm
Gameweek 20
Dundee Utd
1-0
Aberdeen
Holt (90+4')
Strain (20'), Docherty (63'), Sevelj (67'), Holt (90+5')

Sokler (26'), Rubezic (60'), Polvara (90+4')
Oct 26, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 9
Aberdeen
1-0
Dundee Utd
Ambrose (84')
Palaversa (31')

Babunski (70'), Ferry (79'), Sevelj (82')
Mar 4, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 28
Dundee Utd
1-3
Aberdeen
McGrath (73' pen.)
Lopes (56'), McCrorie (80'), Watkins (83')
Nov 12, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 16
Aberdeen
1-0
Dundee Utd
Miovski (37' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
CCeltic5320112268692
2RangersRangers523080413975
3Hibernian512262501258
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd51044554-953
5Aberdeen51044861-1353
6St Mirren52305359-650
Relegation Group
1Hearts54015247552
2Motherwell53114663-1749
3Kilmarnock53024564-1944
4Dundee52125777-2041
5Ross County50233765-2837
RSt Johnstone51043868-3032
 
First Phase
CCeltic33263497227581
2RangersRangers33206768353366
3Hibernian331411854411353
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd33148114140150
5Aberdeen33148114549-450
6St Mirren33125164554-941
7Hearts33117154344-140
8Motherwell33116163756-1939
9Kilmarnock3398163858-2035
10Ross County3398163356-2335
11Dundee3397175071-2134
RSt Johnstone3385203358-2529


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