
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AVS win with a probability of 39.54%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AVS win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AVS | Draw | Moreirense |
| 39.54% ( | 27.78% ( | 32.68% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.06% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.25% ( | 57.75% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.51% ( | 78.49% ( |
| AVS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.51% ( | 28.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.74% ( | 64.26% ( |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.2% ( | 32.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.64% ( | 69.36% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| AVS | Draw | Moreirense |
| 1-0 @ 11.73% ( 2-1 @ 8.21% ( 2-0 @ 7.37% ( 3-1 @ 3.44% ( 3-0 @ 3.08% ( 3-2 @ 1.92% ( 4-1 @ 1.08% ( 4-0 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 1.75% Total : 39.54% | 1-1 @ 13.08% ( 0-0 @ 9.34% ( 2-2 @ 4.58% ( Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.78% | 0-1 @ 10.41% ( 1-2 @ 7.29% ( 0-2 @ 5.81% ( 1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0-3 @ 2.16% ( 2-3 @ 1.7% ( Other @ 2.6% Total : 32.67% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 88 | 27 | 61 | 82 |
| 2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 84 | 28 | 56 | 80 |
| 3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 65 | 30 | 35 | 71 |
| 4 | Braga | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 66 |
| 5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 57 |
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 54 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 47 |
| 8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 46 |
| 9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 45 |
| 10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 40 |
| 11 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 38 |
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39 | 55 | -16 | 38 |
| 13 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 34 |
| 14 | Nacional | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 34 |
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 24 | 50 | -26 | 29 |
| R | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 27 |
| 17 | AVS | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 25 | 60 | -35 | 27 |
| R | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 24 | 59 | -35 | 24 |
| > Primeira Liga Full Table | |||||||||
