Arouca
Arouca
Benfica
Benfica
Boavista
Boavista
Braga
Braga
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Moreirense
Nacional
Nacional
Porto
Porto
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Moreirense
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33
May 11, 2025 at 6pm UK
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Estoril

Moreirense
2 - 2
Estoril

Martins (21'), Marcelo (55')
Martins (33'), Augusto Modesto Rafael dos Santos (43'), Pinto (82'), Alan (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bacher (76'), Marques (80')
Alvaro (45+1'), Maria Salgueiro Costa Pessoa Carvalho (84'), Bacher (90+1'), Carvalho (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Moreirense

All competitions
Last Game: Porto 3-1 Moreirense
Friday, May 2 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Last Game: Estoril 1-2 Benfica
Saturday, May 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 42.07%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
MoreirenseDrawEstoril Praia
42.07% (-0.449 -0.45)26.09% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)31.83% (0.472 0.47)
Both teams to score 52.97% (0.252 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.63% (0.241 0.24)51.37% (-0.241 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.81% (0.21 0.21)73.19% (-0.209 -0.21)
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.81% (-0.119 -0.12)24.19% (0.122 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.48% (-0.169 -0.17)58.52% (0.17100000000001 0.17)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.87% (0.44199999999999 0.44)30.13% (-0.441 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.72% (0.52699999999999 0.53)66.28% (-0.526 -0.53)
Score Analysis
    Moreirense 42.07%
    Estoril Praia 31.83%
    Draw 26.08%
MoreirenseDrawEstoril Praia
1-0 @ 10.34% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 8.81% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.34% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-1 @ 4.17% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.47% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.5% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.48% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.23% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 42.07%
1-1 @ 12.4% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.29% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.28% (0.042 0.04)
3-3 @ 1% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 8.74% (0.023 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.44% (0.084 0.08)
0-2 @ 5.25% (0.078 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.98% (0.069 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.11% (0.042 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.1% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 31.83%

How you voted: Moreirense vs Estoril

Moreirense
46.7%
Draw
40.0%
Estoril Praia
13.3%
15
Head to Head
Dec 28, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 16
Estoril
2-2
Moreirense
Marques (22' pen.), Costa (45+3')
Bacher (16'), Pina (34')
Gabrielzinho (2'), Nlavo (57')
Peixoto (77'), Martins (85'), Frimpong (90+1')
> Preview
May 18, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 34
Moreirense
2-1
Estoril
Mingotti (5'), Franco (66')
Carlos (49')
> Preview
Jan 13, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 17
Estoril
1-3
Moreirense
Carlos (90')
Gomes (25'), Fernandes (83')
Aparicio (30'), Marcelo (33'), Alan (74')
Ramos (39'), Alan (45+2'), Antonisse (73')
> Preview
May 7, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 33
Estoril
1-0
Moreirense
Franco (64')
Mboula (44'), Vital (81'), Vega (90+3'), Fonte (90+4'), Joaozinho (90+5')
Vital (84')

Mane (53'), Amador (74'), Luis (81')
> Preview
Dec 28, 2021 9pm
Gameweek 16
Moreirense
1-0
Estoril
Martins (28')
Soares (47'), Yan (84')

Carneiro Dias Resende Bruno (21'), Patrick (63'), Arthur (78'), Geraldes (87')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon34257288276182
2Benfica34255484285680
3Porto34225765303571
4Braga34199655302566
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara34176113632457
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes341412847371054
7FamalicaoFamalicao341211114439547
8Estoril PraiaEstoril341210124853-546
9Casa Pia34129133944-545
10MoreirenseMoreirense341010144250-840
11AroucaArouca34911143549-1438
12Rio AveRio Ave34911143955-1638
13Gil Vicente34810163447-1334
14Nacional3497183250-1834
15Estrela Amadora3478192450-2629
RSC FarenseFarense3469192546-2127
17AVS34512172560-3527
RBoavistaBoavista3466222459-3524
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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