Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 77.44%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 7.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.02%) and 1-0 (10.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.02%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (2.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Moreirense |
77.44% (![]() | 14.77% (![]() | 7.79% (![]() |
Both teams to score 44.42% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.12% (![]() | 38.88% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.81% (![]() | 61.19% (![]() |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.76% (![]() | 8.24% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.19% (![]() | 28.81% (![]() |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.41% (![]() | 51.59% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.26% (![]() | 85.74% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Moreirense |
2-0 @ 13.24% (![]() 3-0 @ 11.02% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 10.61% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.77% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.29% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 6.88% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.55% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 3.43% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.41% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.27% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.51% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.43% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 3.08% Total : 77.43% | 1-1 @ 7.02% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.25% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 2.9% ( ![]() Other @ 0.59% Total : 14.77% | 0-1 @ 2.81% (![]() 1-2 @ 2.32% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 1.72% Total : 7.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 88 | 27 | 61 | 82 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 84 | 28 | 56 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 65 | 30 | 35 | 71 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 66 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 57 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 54 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 47 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 46 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 45 |
10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 40 |
11 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 38 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39 | 55 | -16 | 38 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 34 |
14 | Nacional | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 34 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 24 | 50 | -26 | 29 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 27 |
17 | AVS | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 25 | 60 | -35 | 27 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 24 | 59 | -35 | 24 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |