

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 57.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 18.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Moreirense in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Moreirense.
| Result | ||
| Moreirense | Draw | Boavista |
| 57.64% ( | 23.44% ( | 18.92% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.62% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.04% ( | 50.96% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.17% ( | 72.82% ( |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.56% ( | 17.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.11% ( | 47.89% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.89% ( | 41.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.35% ( | 77.65% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Moreirense | Draw | Boavista |
| 1-0 @ 12.51% ( 2-0 @ 10.93% ( 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 3-0 @ 6.37% ( 3-1 @ 5.66% ( 4-0 @ 2.78% ( 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 4-1 @ 2.47% ( 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 5-0 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.62% Total : 57.63% | 1-1 @ 11.13% ( 0-0 @ 7.17% ( 2-2 @ 4.32% ( Other @ 0.82% Total : 23.44% | 0-1 @ 6.37% ( 1-2 @ 4.95% ( 0-2 @ 2.83% ( 1-3 @ 1.47% ( 2-3 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 2.02% Total : 18.92% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 83 | 25 | 58 | 75 |
| 2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 3 | 4 | 80 | 25 | 55 | 75 |
| 3 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 64 |
| 4 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 57 | 28 | 29 | 62 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 51 |
| 6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 50 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 41 | 49 | -8 | 42 |
| 9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 41 |
| 10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 36 |
| 11 | Nacional | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 33 |
| 12 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 33 |
| 13 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 33 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 32 |
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 29 |
| 16 | AVS | 31 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 23 | 55 | -32 | 24 |
| 17 | SC FarenseFarense | 31 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 20 | 42 | -22 | 21 |
| 18 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 52 | -32 | 21 |
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