

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 29.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Boavista win was 1-0 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Famalicao |
| 29.15% ( | 27.23% ( | 43.61% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.3% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.2% ( | 56.8% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.27% ( | 77.73% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.13% ( | 34.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.39% ( | 71.61% ( |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.15% ( | 25.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.19% ( | 60.81% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 9.49% ( 2-1 @ 6.77% ( 2-0 @ 5% ( 3-1 @ 2.38% ( 3-0 @ 1.76% ( 3-2 @ 1.61% ( Other @ 2.15% Total : 29.15% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( 0-0 @ 9.01% ( 2-2 @ 4.58% ( Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.22% | 0-1 @ 12.19% ( 1-2 @ 8.69% ( 0-2 @ 8.25% ( 1-3 @ 3.92% ( 0-3 @ 3.72% ( 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0-4 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 2.19% Total : 43.61% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 67 | 22 | 45 | 59 |
| 2 | Benfica | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 56 | 18 | 38 | 56 |
| 3 | Braga | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 42 | 22 | 20 | 53 |
| 4 | Porto | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 50 |
| 5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 43 |
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 38 |
| 7 | Casa Pia | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 36 |
| 8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 35 |
| 9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
| 10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 29 |
| 11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 28 |
| 12 | AroucaArouca | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 28 |
| 13 | Nacional | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 26 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 23 |
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 23 |
| 16 | AVS | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 23 |
| 17 | SC FarenseFarense | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 17 | 37 | -20 | 17 |
| 18 | BoavistaBoavista | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 15 |
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