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Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Burnley logo

Swansea
0 - 2
Burnley


Fulton (74')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Brownhill (4'), Anthony (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 1-0 Swansea
Wednesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 1-1 West Brom
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 0-1 Burnley

Swansea's character and mental fortitude could not be called into question at Vicarage Road, even if they ended up on the wrong end of the scoreline, and they have the defensive nous to frustrate their Premier League-chasing counterparts. However, Sheehan's men are now pitting their wits against the rearguard masters, who also possess more difference-makers in attack and should only need the one strike to reignite their top-two charge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-0 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawBurnley
32.99% (-0.306 -0.31) 27.78% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 39.24% (0.341 0.34)
Both teams to score 48.14% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.32% (0.065999999999995 0.07)57.68% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.56% (0.053000000000001 0.05)78.44% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.45% (-0.173 -0.17)32.55% (0.177 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.92% (-0.198 -0.2)69.09% (0.203 0.2)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.37% (0.229 0.23)28.64% (-0.224 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.56% (0.284 0.28)64.45% (-0.279 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 32.99%
    Burnley 39.23%
    Draw 27.78%
Swansea CityDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 10.46% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-1 @ 7.34% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.87% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-1 @ 2.75% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.2% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.72% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 32.99%
1-1 @ 13.08% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.32% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.78%
0-1 @ 11.65% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.18% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 7.29% (0.074 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.41% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.04% (0.049 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.07% (0.019 0.02)
0-4 @ 0.95% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 39.23%

How you voted: Swansea vs Burnley

Swansea City
25.5%
Draw
8.5%
Burnley
66.0%
47
Head to Head
Nov 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 15
Burnley
1-0
Swansea
Rodriguez (90+4' pen.)
Cullen (32')

Pereira Martins (61'), Cullen (86'), Cabango (90+6')
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 26
Swansea
1-2
Burnley
Cooper (27')
Maatsen (13', 22')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Burnley
4-0
Swansea
Vitinho (15'), Rodriguez (29', 57'), Zaroury (45+3')
Feb 10, 2018 3pm
Nov 18, 2017 3pm
Burnley
2-0
Swansea
Cork (29'), Barnes (39')
Ward (17')

Dyer (97')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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