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Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Burnley logo

Swansea
0 - 2
Burnley


Fulton (74')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Brownhill (4'), Anthony (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 1-0 Swansea
Wednesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 1-1 West Brom
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 0-1 Burnley

Swansea's character and mental fortitude could not be called into question at Vicarage Road, even if they ended up on the wrong end of the scoreline, and they have the defensive nous to frustrate their Premier League-chasing counterparts. However, Sheehan's men are now pitting their wits against the rearguard masters, who also possess more difference-makers in attack and should only need the one strike to reignite their top-two charge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-0 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawBurnley
32.99% (-0.306 -0.31) 27.78% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 39.24% (0.341 0.34)
Both teams to score 48.14% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.32% (0.065999999999995 0.07)57.68% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.56% (0.053000000000001 0.05)78.44% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.45% (-0.173 -0.17)32.55% (0.177 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.92% (-0.198 -0.2)69.09% (0.203 0.2)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.37% (0.229 0.23)28.64% (-0.224 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.56% (0.284 0.28)64.45% (-0.279 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 32.99%
    Burnley 39.23%
    Draw 27.78%
Swansea CityDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 10.46% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-1 @ 7.34% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.87% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-1 @ 2.75% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.2% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.72% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 32.99%
1-1 @ 13.08% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.32% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.78%
0-1 @ 11.65% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.18% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 7.29% (0.074 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.41% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.04% (0.049 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.07% (0.019 0.02)
0-4 @ 0.95% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 39.23%

How you voted: Swansea vs Burnley

Swansea City
25.5%
Draw
8.5%
Burnley
66.0%
47
Head to Head
Nov 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 15
Burnley
1-0
Swansea
Rodriguez (90+4' pen.)
Cullen (32')

Pereira Martins (61'), Cullen (86'), Cabango (90+6')
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 26
Swansea
1-2
Burnley
Cooper (27')
Maatsen (13', 22')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Burnley
4-0
Swansea
Vitinho (15'), Rodriguez (29', 57'), Zaroury (45+3')
Feb 10, 2018 3pm
Nov 18, 2017 3pm
Burnley
2-0
Swansea
Cork (29'), Barnes (39')
Ward (17')

Dyer (97')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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