Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Burnley | 
| 40.72% (  1.3) | 26.86% (  -0.19) | 32.41% (  -1.12) | 
| Both teams to score 50.74% (  0.27) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 45.68% (  0.48) | 54.31% (  -0.49) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 24.29% (  0.4) | 75.7% (  -0.4) | 
| Swansea City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 73.77% (  0.93) | 26.22% (  -0.94) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.67% (  1.24) | 61.32% (  -1.24) | 
| Burnley Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 68.77% (  -0.51) | 31.22% (  0.5) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.43% (  -0.59) | 67.56% (  0.59) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Swansea City | Draw | Burnley | 
| 1-0 @ 10.95% (  0.08) 2-1 @ 8.54% (  0.17) 2-0 @ 7.34% (  0.25) 3-1 @ 3.81% (  0.18) 3-0 @ 3.27% (  0.19) 3-2 @ 2.22% (  0.07) 4-1 @ 1.28% (  0.09) 4-0 @ 1.1% (  0.09) Other @ 2.22% Total : 40.71% | 1-1 @ 12.75% (  -0.08) 0-0 @ 8.19% (  -0.16) 2-2 @ 4.97% (  0.03) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.85% | 0-1 @ 9.53% (  -0.32) 1-2 @ 7.43% (  -0.15) 0-2 @ 5.55% (  -0.27) 1-3 @ 2.88% (  -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.15% (  -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.93% (  -0.01) Other @ 2.95% Total : 32.41% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Burnley | 46 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 87 | 35 | 52 | 101 | 
| P | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 46 | 28 | 7 | 11 | 73 | 39 | 34 | 91 | 
| P | Luton TownLuton | 46 | 21 | 17 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 80 | 
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 84 | 56 | 28 | 75 | 
| 5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 18 | 16 | 12 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 70 | 
| 6 | Sunderland | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 69 | 
| 7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 69 | 
| 8 | Millwall | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 68 | 
| 9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 59 | 53 | 6 | 66 | 
| 10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 66 | 
| 11 | Watford | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 56 | 53 | 3 | 63 | 
| 12 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 63 | 
| 13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 54 | 3 | 62 | 
| 14 | Bristol City | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 59 | 
| 15 | Hull City | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 51 | 61 | -10 | 58 | 
| 16 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 55 | 54 | 1 | 53 | 
| 17 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 53 | 
| 18 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 62 | -15 | 53 | 
| 19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 11 | 17 | 18 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 50 | 
| 20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 50 | 
| 21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 41 | 58 | -17 | 49 | 
| R | Reading | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 44 | 
| R | Blackpool | 46 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 48 | 72 | -24 | 44 | 
| R | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 42 | 
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