Burnley are a few more good results away from creating a significant gap between themselves and the rest of the Championship, with those inside the Clarets camp insisting they have an extra gear to go into as the season reaches the midway point.
Middlesbrough will definitely fancy their chances of competing for a playoff position this campaign but will struggle to leave Turf Moor with anything to show for their efforts in terms of points on Saturday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 58.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 19.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Middlesbrough win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
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