MX23RW : Saturday, May 6 20:18:01| >> :600:5890970:5890970:
Burnley logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Nov 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Turf Moor
Crawley Town
Burnley
3 - 1
Crawley
Barnes (24'), Zaroury (79', 90')
Berg Gudmundsson (51')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Telford (22')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Burnley and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Utd 5-2 Burnley
Saturday, November 5 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 3-0 Crawley Town

Burnley will look to regain some confidence ahead of the Lancashire Derby with Blackburn with a convincing win here, and should get past a lowly Crawley quite comfortably. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 69.84%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 12.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.47%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawCrawley Town
69.84% (0.049999999999997 0.05) 17.91% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 12.25% (-0.025 -0.03)
Both teams to score 50.9% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.19% (0.063000000000002 0.06)39.82% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.83% (0.067 0.07)62.17% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.74% (0.027000000000001 0.03)10.26% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.37% (0.067000000000007 0.07)33.63% (-0.07 -0.07)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.72%43.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.47% (0.0010000000000012 0)79.53% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 69.83%
    Crawley Town 12.25%
    Draw 17.91%
BurnleyDrawCrawley Town
2-0 @ 11.51%
1-0 @ 10.11% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 8.74% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.32% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.97% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.16% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 2.26% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.9% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.74% (0.004 0)
Other @ 4.42%
Total : 69.83%
1-1 @ 8.47% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.44% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.04% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 17.91%
0-1 @ 3.72% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.55% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.56% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.13%
1-3 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 12.25%

How you voted: Burnley vs Crawley

Burnley
82.0%
Draw
4.0%
Crawley Town
14.0%
100
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331811461273465
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd3319684940963
5Liverpool35188967422562
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs35176126457757
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton32167962402255
8Aston Villa35166134643354
9Brentford35121495245750
10Fulham34136154546-145
11Chelsea34119143439-542
12Crystal Palace351010153546-1140
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35117173050-2040
14Bournemouth35116183767-3039
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham3497183750-1334
16Leicester CityLeicester3486204659-1330
17Leeds UnitedLeeds3579194469-2530
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479183062-3230
19Everton34611172752-2529
20Southampton3466222860-3224

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