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Championship | Gameweek 9
Oct 25, 2022 at 8pm UK
Turf Moor
Norwich logo

Burnley
1 - 0
Norwich

Rodriguez (82' pen.)
Rodriguez (38'), Tella (58'), Cork (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Aarons (21'), Hayden (27'), Hanley (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Burnley and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 2-4 Burnley
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 2-2 Norwich
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 1-1 Norwich City

Victory for either side at Turf Moor would send a message to the rest of the league as to their promotion credentials, although a tight affair could be on the cards on Friday. Burnley have already drawn three of their opening four home games this term and we can see the points being shared once again in Lancashire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 47.76%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 26.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burnley in this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawNorwich City
47.76% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 25.48% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 26.75% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.64% (0.0010000000000048 0)51.36% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.82% (0.0019999999999989 0)73.18% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)21.51% (-0.0059999999999967 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.43% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)54.56% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.13% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)33.86% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.46% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)70.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 47.76%
    Norwich City 26.75%
    Draw 25.48%
BurnleyDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 11.19%
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.6% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.77% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.41% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.58%
4-1 @ 1.83%
4-0 @ 1.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 47.76%
1-1 @ 12.12%
0-0 @ 7.29% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.04%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.48%
0-1 @ 7.89% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 6.56% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 4.27% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.82%
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 26.75%

How you voted: Burnley vs Norwich

Burnley
79.7%
Draw
12.0%
Norwich City
8.3%
133
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2022 2pm
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Burnley
0-0
Norwich

Tarkowski (11'), Wood (24'), Lowton (25'), Brownhill (33'), Rodriguez (49')

Normann (27'), Aarons (74')
Jul 18, 2020 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds412413480285285
2Burnley412316255124385
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd41267856312583
4Sunderland412113757372076
5Bristol City411615105344963
6Coventry CityCoventry41188155853562
7Middlesbrough411791561501160
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4113181049381157
9Millwall411512144041-157
10Watford41168174953-456
11Norwich CityNorwich411314146256653
12Blackburn RoversBlackburn41158184445-153
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds411411165663-753
14Swansea CitySwansea41149184451-751
15Queens Park RangersQPR411213164854-649
16Preston North EndPreston411019124249-749
17Portsmouth41129204864-1645
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd411112184260-1845
19Hull City411111194049-944
20Stoke CityStoke411014174254-1244
21Derby CountyDerby41119214252-1042
22Cardiff CityCardiff41915174565-2042
23Luton TownLuton411010213762-2540
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth41813204281-3937


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