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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 47.76%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 26.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burnley in this match.
Result | ||
Burnley | Draw | Norwich City |
47.76% (![]() | 25.48% (![]() | 26.75% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.91% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.64% (![]() | 51.36% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.82% (![]() | 73.18% (![]() |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.49% (![]() | 21.51% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.43% (![]() | 54.56% (![]() |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.13% (![]() | 33.86% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.46% (![]() | 70.53% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Burnley | Draw | Norwich City |
1-0 @ 11.19% 2-1 @ 9.31% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.6% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.77% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.41% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.58% 4-1 @ 1.83% 4-0 @ 1.69% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.38% Total : 47.76% | 1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 7.29% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.04% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.48% | 0-1 @ 7.89% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.56% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.27% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.37% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.82% 0-3 @ 1.54% ( ![]() Other @ 2.3% Total : 26.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 41 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 80 | 28 | 52 | 85 |
2 | Burnley | 41 | 23 | 16 | 2 | 55 | 12 | 43 | 85 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 41 | 26 | 7 | 8 | 56 | 31 | 25 | 83 |
4 | Sunderland | 41 | 21 | 13 | 7 | 57 | 37 | 20 | 76 |
5 | Bristol City | 41 | 16 | 15 | 10 | 53 | 44 | 9 | 63 |
6 | Coventry CityCoventry | 41 | 18 | 8 | 15 | 58 | 53 | 5 | 62 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 41 | 17 | 9 | 15 | 61 | 50 | 11 | 60 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 41 | 13 | 18 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 57 |
9 | Millwall | 41 | 15 | 12 | 14 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 57 |
10 | Watford | 41 | 16 | 8 | 17 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 56 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 41 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 62 | 56 | 6 | 53 |
12 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 41 | 15 | 8 | 18 | 44 | 45 | -1 | 53 |
13 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 41 | 14 | 11 | 16 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 53 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 41 | 14 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 51 |
15 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 41 | 12 | 13 | 16 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 49 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 41 | 10 | 19 | 12 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 49 |
17 | Portsmouth | 41 | 12 | 9 | 20 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 45 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 41 | 11 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 45 |
19 | Hull City | 41 | 11 | 11 | 19 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 44 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 41 | 10 | 14 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 44 |
21 | Derby CountyDerby | 41 | 11 | 9 | 21 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 42 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 41 | 9 | 15 | 17 | 45 | 65 | -20 | 42 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 41 | 10 | 10 | 21 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 40 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 41 | 8 | 13 | 20 | 42 | 81 | -39 | 37 |
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