Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 70.53%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Reading had a probability of 10.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.51%) and 3-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.