Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 1-0 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.