Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (10.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.