Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.