

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 57.47%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 17.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.36%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Blackburn Rovers win it was 0-1 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Blackburn Rovers | 
| 57.47% (  0.02) | 25.26% (  -0.01) | 17.26% (  -0.01) | 
| Both teams to score 41.01% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 40.38% (  0.01) | 59.62% (  -0.01) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 20.05% (  0.01) | 79.95% (  -0.01) | 
| Middlesbrough Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 79.19% (  0.01) | 20.81% (  -0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.53% (  0.02) | 53.47% (  -0.02) | 
| Blackburn Rovers Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 51.78% (  -0.01) | 48.21% (  0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 16.61% (  -0) | 83.38% (  0) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Blackburn Rovers | 
| 1-0 @ 15.74% 2-0 @ 12.36% (  0.01) 2-1 @ 9.02% 3-0 @ 6.47% (  0) 3-1 @ 4.72% (  0) 4-0 @ 2.54% (  0) 4-1 @ 1.85% (  0) 3-2 @ 1.72% Other @ 3.04% Total : 57.46% | 1-1 @ 11.48% (  -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.03% 2-2 @ 3.29% Other @ 0.45% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 7.32% (  -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.19% (  -0) 0-2 @ 2.67% (  -0) 1-3 @ 1.02% (  -0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 17.26% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Burnley | 46 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 87 | 35 | 52 | 101 | 
| P | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 46 | 28 | 7 | 11 | 73 | 39 | 34 | 91 | 
| P | Luton TownLuton | 46 | 21 | 17 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 80 | 
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 84 | 56 | 28 | 75 | 
| 5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 18 | 16 | 12 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 70 | 
| 6 | Sunderland | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 69 | 
| 7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 69 | 
| 8 | Millwall | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 68 | 
| 9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 59 | 53 | 6 | 66 | 
| 10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 66 | 
| 11 | Watford | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 56 | 53 | 3 | 63 | 
| 12 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 63 | 
| 13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 54 | 3 | 62 | 
| 14 | Bristol City | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 59 | 
| 15 | Hull City | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 51 | 61 | -10 | 58 | 
| 16 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 55 | 54 | 1 | 53 | 
| 17 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 53 | 
| 18 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 62 | -15 | 53 | 
| 19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 11 | 17 | 18 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 50 | 
| 20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 50 | 
| 21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 41 | 58 | -17 | 49 | 
| R | Reading | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 44 | 
| R | Blackpool | 46 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 48 | 72 | -24 | 44 | 
| R | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 42 | 
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