Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.44%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 1-0 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.