Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Augsburg in this match.
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