Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 45%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.