MX23RW : Tuesday, April 29 16:20:38| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Heidenheim
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Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 25
Mar 8, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA

Wolfsburg
1 - 1
St Pauli

FT(HT: 0-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and St Pauli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-2 Wolfsburg
Saturday, March 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: St Pauli 0-2 Dortmund
Saturday, March 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Wolfsburg 2-0 St Pauli

Another tight affair similar to the reverse fixture cannot be ruled out here, but Wolfsburg will be regarded as favourites to come out on top. The hosts have made themselves difficult to beat in front of their own fans in recent months and we are backing them to pick up all three points against a St Pauli outfit struggling to score goals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 45%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
WolfsburgDrawSt Pauli
45% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06) 24.98% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 30.02% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 55.75% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.63% (0.112 0.11)47.37% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.41% (0.102 0.1)69.59% (-0.10199999999999 -0.1)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.91% (0.019999999999996 0.02)21.09% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.09% (0.032000000000004 0.03)53.91% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.64% (0.107 0.11)29.35% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.66% (0.134 0.13)65.34% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 45%
    St Pauli 30.02%
    Draw 24.98%
WolfsburgDrawSt Pauli
1-0 @ 9.64% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 7.5% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.77% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.92% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.86% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 45%
1-1 @ 11.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.19% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.63% (0.015 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.98%
0-1 @ 7.59% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.24% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.65% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.96% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.3% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.9% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 30.02%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs St Pauli

Wolfsburg
87.1%
Draw
12.9%
St Pauli
0.0%
31
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
St Pauli
0-0
Wolfsburg
Kaminski (76'), Maehle (82'), Majer (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern31236290296175
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen311910266353167
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31167862422055
4Freiburg31156104447-351
5RB Leipzig31131084842649
6Borussia DortmundDortmund311461160491148
7Mainz 05Mainz31138104839947
8Werder Bremen31137114854-646
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31135135150144
10Augsburg311110103342-943
11Stuttgart31118125651541
12Wolfsburg31109125348539
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin3199133145-1436
14St Pauli3187162636-1031
15Hoffenheim3179154058-1830
16Heidenheim3174203360-2725
17Holstein Kiel3157194574-2922
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3156203063-3321


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