Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | St Pauli | 
| 44.32% (  0.29) | 24.02% (  0.12) | 31.65% (  -0.41) | 
| Both teams to score 59.91% (  -0.62) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 57.72% (  -0.74) | 42.28% (  0.74) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 35.31% (  -0.74) | 64.68% (  0.74) | 
| RB Leipzig Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 80.7% (  -0.18) | 19.29% (  0.18) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.96% (  -0.29) | 51.04% (  0.29) | 
| St Pauli Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 74.24% (  -0.61) | 25.76% (  0.61) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.3% (  -0.83) | 60.7% (  0.83) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| RB Leipzig | Draw | St Pauli | 
| 2-1 @ 9.13% (  0.04) 1-0 @ 8.18% (  0.22) 2-0 @ 6.73% (  0.15) 3-1 @ 5.01% (  -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.69% (  0.06) 3-2 @ 3.39% (  -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.06% (  -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.52% (  0.02) 4-2 @ 1.4% (  -0.03) Other @ 3.23% Total : 44.32% | 1-1 @ 11.09% (  0.11) 2-2 @ 6.19% (  -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.97% (  0.16) 3-3 @ 1.54% (  -0.06) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.02% | 1-2 @ 7.52% (  -0.06) 0-1 @ 6.74% (  0.11) 0-2 @ 4.57% (  -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.4% (  -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.8% (  -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.07% (  -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.15% (  -0.05) 2-4 @ 0.95% (  -0.05) Other @ 2.45% Total : 31.65% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 99 | 32 | 67 | 82 | 
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 69 | 
| 3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 60 | 
| 4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 57 | 
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 55 | 
| 6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 55 | 43 | 12 | 52 | 
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 51 | 
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 51 | 
| 9 | Stuttgart | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 64 | 53 | 11 | 50 | 
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 45 | 
| 11 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 54 | 2 | 43 | 
| 12 | Augsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 43 | 
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 40 | 
| 14 | St Pauli | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 32 | 
| 15 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 32 | 
| 16 | Heidenheim | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 37 | 64 | -27 | 29 | 
| R | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 49 | 80 | -31 | 25 | 
| R | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 25 | 
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